AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for Ursus Knife | Case Hardened (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

The Ursus knife is a tanto-style survival blade with a faceted edge, complete tang, and impact-ready pommel. It's a straightforward, maintenance-free tool built for reliability. It has been color case-hardened through the application of wood charcoal at high temperatures. StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened in Factory New condition comes with a float range of 0.00–0.07, appearing almost pristine with minimal to no visible wear.

Pricing

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $98.00 to $131.04.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
SKINSWAP	$98.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 14:32 UTC
TRADEIT	$98.15	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:19 UTC
CSMONEY	$99.32	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 12:33 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$99.52	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:24 UTC
DMARKET	$99.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:44 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$100.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:03 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$100.85	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:23 UTC
SKINVAULT	$100.93	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:49 UTC
SKINLAND	$100.95	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:22 UTC
C5	$101.34	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:18 UTC
SKINPORT	$101.62	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:56 UTC
HALOSKINS	$102.22	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
YOUPIN	$102.67	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:09 UTC
AVANMARKET	$102.90	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
UUSKINS	$103.08	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:10 UTC
PIRATESWAP	$103.95	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:28 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$104.33	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:28 UTC
CSFLOAT	$104.99	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 02:06 UTC
WAXPEER	$105.89	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:46 UTC
BUFF	$106.10	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:52 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$106.92	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:24 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$108.00	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 05:46 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$112.71	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:06 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$115.10	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MANNCO	$127.18	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:27 UTC
STEAM	$131.04	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:07 UTC

Lowest: $98.00
Median: $102.79
Highest: $131.04

Quoted prices for this variant range from $98.00 to $131.04 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on SKINSWAP, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on August 1, 2018 as part of the "A New Horizon" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Ursus Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Danger Zone Case, Horizon Case