AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for XM1014 | Incinegator (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

XM1014 | Incinegator — The XM1014 is a powerful fully automatic shotgun that justifies its heftier price tag with the ability to paint a room with lead fast. A custom paint job resembling a gator spitting fire has been applied. In Minimal Wear condition it has a float range of 0.07–0.15, showing faint edge wear or small scratches, yet maintaining a vibrant and sharp appearance.

Pricing

XM1014 | Incinegator ranges in price from $30.71 to $40.39.

Live snapshot: 24 quotes from 24 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
BUFF_MARKET	$30.71	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:41 UTC
SKINSWAP	$30.81	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
CSFLOAT	$31.08	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$31.25	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:24 UTC
YOUPIN	$31.46	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:16 UTC
UUSKINS	$32.37	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:05 UTC
TRADEIT	$32.39	Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:19 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$32.47	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:23 UTC
AVANMARKET	$32.48	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:31 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$32.77	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:25 UTC
SKINVAULT	$32.98	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:33 UTC
C5	$33.08	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:01 UTC
HALOSKINS	$33.44	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:16 UTC
WAXPEER	$33.92	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 02:30 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$33.98	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:26 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$34.00	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
SKINLAND	$34.03	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:56 UTC
DMARKET	$34.39	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:57 UTC
SKINFLOW	$34.43	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:20 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$35.00	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:18 UTC
BUFF	$35.69	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 21:55 UTC
MANNCO	$38.36	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 09:11 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY	$39.16	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
STEAM	$40.39	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 20:19 UTC

Lowest: $30.71
Median: $33.26
Highest: $40.39

Quoted prices for this variant range from $30.71 to $40.39 across 24 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF_MARKET, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 27 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 3 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

XM1014 | Incinegator made its debut in CS2 on March 13, 2019 as part of the "Seeing the Light" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of XM1014 | Incinegator is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

XM1014 | Incinegator has a float range of 0.14 to 0.65, meaning it comes in Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

XM1014 | Incinegator can be found inside 1 container, including Prisma CaseIt belongs to the The Prisma Collection