AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 55%

Based on our daily kline read for XM1014 | Incinegator (Sat Oct 10). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

XM1014 | Incinegator — The XM1014 is a powerful fully automatic shotgun that justifies its heftier price tag with the ability to paint a room with lead fast. A custom paint job resembling a gator spitting fire has been applied. In Minimal Wear condition it has a float range of 0.07–0.15, showing faint edge wear or small scratches, yet maintaining a vibrant and sharp appearance.

Pricing

XM1014 | Incinegator ranges in price from $73.59 to $90.71.

Live snapshot: 24 quotes from 24 markets · as of Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:29 UTC

Platform	Price (USD)	Updated
DMARKET	$72.89	Mon, Oct 05, 2026, 23:14 UTC
BUFF	$73.59	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 05:57 UTC
SKINSWAP	$74.29	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:27 UTC
BUFF_MARKET	$75.08	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 06:11 UTC
ECOSTEAM	$75.43	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:07 UTC
C5	$76.09	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:20 UTC
YOUPIN	$76.22	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:26 UTC
UUSKINS	$76.53	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 03:58 UTC
TRADEIT	$76.67	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 04:30 UTC
HALOSKINS	$77.07	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:51 UTC
AVANMARKET	$78.12	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:02 UTC
LIS_SKINS	$78.18	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:28 UTC
SKINLAND	$78.25	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 22:24 UTC
SKINFLOW	$78.67	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:24 UTC
SHADOWPAY	$78.82	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:28 UTC
AIM_MARKET	$79.07	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:00 UTC
WHITEMARKET	$79.11	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:13 UTC
WAXPEER	$79.72	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 04:29 UTC
SKINVAULT	$81.01	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 01:47 UTC
CSFLOAT	$86.03	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:09 UTC
CSMONEY	$87.21	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 23:25 UTC
MARKET_CSGO	$87.80	Wed, Oct 14, 2026, 00:12 UTC
STEAM	$88.05	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 08:19 UTC
MANNCO	$90.71	Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 18:06 UTC

Lowest: $73.59
Median: $78.25
Highest: $90.71

Quoted prices for this variant range from $73.59 to $90.71 across 23 markets; the lowest asking price is on BUFF, the highest on MANNCO.

SeekSkins tracks 25 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 1 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

XM1014 | Incinegator made its debut in CS2 on March 13, 2019 as part of the "Seeing the Light" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of XM1014 | Incinegator is Classified, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.32% when unboxing. This makes it a very rare drop.

Exterior Versions

XM1014 | Incinegator has a float range of 0.14 to 0.65, meaning it comes in Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

XM1014 | Incinegator can be found inside 1 container, including Prisma CaseIt belongs to the The Prisma Collection