AI market verdict (free summary)

BearishConfidence 70%

Based on our daily kline read for Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened (Sun Oct 11). Direction and confidence only — full reasoning, price levels and trade points are part of the paid plans.

Skin description

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened is a standout knife skin added on November 18, 2019, released with the Shattered Web Case alongside the start of Operation Shattered Web. This Skeleton Knife has been painted in a “Patina” style, with the Case Hardened finish, its blade shows heat-treated, mottled stains in blue, violet, and gold, while the handle stays largely unpainted for a clean contrast. The pattern index heavily affects the stain placement and intensity, with rare “Blue Gem” patterns prized for their deep blue coverage. In Factory New condition, it looks pristine: virtually no scuffs, scratches, or dull wear, keeping the blade bright and the colors crisp.

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Pricing

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened ranges in price from $204.73 to $299.88.

Live snapshot: 26 quotes from 26 markets · as of Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC

PlatformPrice (USD)Updated
CSFLOAT$204.73Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:08 UTC
BUFF$213.69Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:22 UTC
CSMONEY$214.04Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:36 UTC
SKINSWAP$214.20Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:02 UTC
YOUPIN$216.16Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:12 UTC
UUSKINS$217.03Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
BUFF_MARKET$217.98Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 13:16 UTC
DMARKET$220.61Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:31 UTC
LIS_SKINS$223.43Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:07 UTC
SKINLAND$223.65Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:16 UTC
AIM_MARKET$225.68Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:31 UTC
HALOSKINS$226.42Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:21 UTC
SKINVAULT$226.65Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:23 UTC
ECOSTEAM$227.14Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:27 UTC
AVANMARKET$227.61Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
SHADOWPAY$227.88Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:28 UTC
C5$228.86Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 10:20 UTC
WAXPEER$229.70Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:31 UTC
WHITEMARKET$230.75Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:32 UTC
TRADEIT$235.15Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 18:53 UTC
SKINPORT$239.00Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 10:56 UTC
PIRATESWAP$242.39Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 16:28 UTC
SKINS_MONKEY$249.29Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:01 UTC
MARKET_CSGO$255.33Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 00:03 UTC
MANNCO$263.40Tue, Oct 13, 2026, 15:17 UTC
STEAM$299.88Mon, Oct 12, 2026, 09:10 UTC
Lowest
$204.73
Median
$226.89
Highest
$299.88

Quoted prices for this variant range from $204.73 to $299.88 across 26 markets; the lowest asking price is on CSFLOAT, the highest on STEAM.

SeekSkins tracks 28 marketplace quotes for this skin variant and excludes price outliers from the summary figures: quotes below one fifth of the median and, when the median is under $500, quotes above fifty times the median.

Summary figures use quotes updated within 48 hours only (older quotes are listed but excluded from the lowest, median and highest); quotes older than 15 days are not listed.

Note: 2 additional marketplace quote(s) were left out as outliers.

Background

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened made its debut in CS2 on November 18, 2019 as part of the "Operation Shattered Web" update.

Drop Chance

The rarity of ★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened is Covert, giving it an estimated drop chance of 0.26% when unboxing. This makes it the rarest type of drop.

Exterior Versions

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened has a float range of 0.00 to 1.00, meaning it comes in Factory New, Minimal Wear, Field-Tested, Well-Worn and Battle-Scarred

How to Obtain

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened can be found inside 2 containers, including Fracture Case, Shattered Web Case